S&P 500 Predictions

🎯 Target range: 6,060–6,465

✅ Track record: 33/35 successful calls (94.3%)

Compass adapts systematically following first miss since April 2025. Range shifts lower while maintaining 405-point width, reflecting systematic resp>

Employment shock (73K vs 100K+ expected) and Fed historic dissent (first two-governor split since 1993) provide background context. Compass adaptatio>

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 6,260–6,666

✅ Track record: 33/34 successful calls (97.1%)

Model signals range of 406 points from systematic analysis. This week saw manufacturing PMI collapse to 49.5, ECB policy pause, and escalating August 1 trade deadline tensions as background context.

Systematic approach operates independently of headlines while markets processed manufacturing contraction and trade policy uncertainty. Range derived from internal model parameters ahead of critical policy deadlines.

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 6,168–6,679

✅ Track record: 32/33 successful calls (97.0%)

Model signals range of 511 points from systematic analysis. This week saw CPI acceleration to 2.7%, Q1 GDP revision to -0.5%, and conflicting Fed signals as background context.

Systematic approach operates independently of headlines while markets processed mixed economic data and geopolitical developments. Range derived from internal model parameters, not news-driven adjustm>

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 6,081–6,645

✅ Track record: 31/32 successful calls (96.9%)

Model compresses range significantly to 564 points from previous week's 1,135 points, reflecting systematic recognition of reduced immediate volatility following tariff deadline extension to August 1.>

Range compression signals stabilizing environment as Q2 earnings provide clarity and policy framework shifts from crisis to structured timeline. Forward signals suggest potential breakout conditions d>

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,885–7,020

✅ Track record: 30/31 successful calls

Model maintains extended range as markets navigate post-tariff deadline clarity and earnings season catalysts. Strong employment data reshapes Fed expectations while geopolitical backdrop remains ele>

July 9 deadline resolution provides policy framework, yet systematic approach accounts for potential volatility from corporate earnings revelations and evolving central bank communications.

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,305–6,636

✅ Track record: 28/29 successful calls

Model stays expanded as US enters Middle East conflict, escalating geopolitical uncertainty to unprecedented levels. Fed stagflation signals compound oil supply shock concerns following nuclear facili>

Multiple uncertainty sources converging across monetary policy, energy markets, and global security dynamics create sustained volatility environment requiring wide forecast parameters.

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,406–6,581

✅ Track record: 27/28 successful calls

Model narrows range slightly while maintaining elevated uncertainty parameters driven by escalating Middle East conflict and monetary policy divergence.

Geopolitical shock waves from Israel-Iran exchanges since June 13 created significant risk-off sentiment, with oil markets posting largest single-day gains since March 2022. Fed decision Wednesda>

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,242–6,651

✅ Track record: 26/27 successful calls

Model signals potential range narrowing by late July under baseline conditions, but maintains current expanded parameters due to elevated uncertainity patterns.

Trade friction drives central bank divergence — with the ECB cutting rates, the Fed managing inflation pressures, and China–US talks approaching.

Systematic, not reactive.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,332-6,513

✅ Track record: 25/26 successful calls

Our systematic model keeps an extended range as uncertainty persists around volatile trade policy and emerging legal risks.

Despite a headline-heavy week — EU tariff delays, Nvidia earnings, weak China PMI, and Japan bond stress — markets traded in a tight band.

Such compression often precedes significant moves.

Systematic, not speculative.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,192-6,348

✅ Track record: 24/25 successful calls

Model maintains wide range heading into Memorial Day week.

Shortened trading schedule and mixed global economic signals contribute to elevated uncertainty.

Systematic, not speculative.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,407-6,615

✅ Track record: 23/24 successful calls

Our model maintains an expanded range as volatility persists and patterns remain unstable.

In the background: U.S. policy shifts, trade signals from China, and cautious optimism in Europe.

Systematic, not speculative.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,050-6,296

Markets face persistent macro uncertainty:

US and China reinitiate trade dialogue, China eases policy, and geopolitical tensions linger in Europe. While headlines shift, our model remains grounded in data.

Systematic, not speculative.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 5,075-6,330

Wider range reflects ongoing macro uncertainty and rising trade tensions.

Our model adjusts to evolving volatility — systematic, not speculative.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 4,917–6,127

The wide range reflects elevated uncertainty and volatility, driven by trade tensions, weakening consumer sentiment, and tech-driven sector rotation.

Systematic, not speculative.

For informational purposes only.

🎯 Target range: 4,628–5,822

Markets remain unsettled after Powell's remarks and Trump's latest comments.

While headlines fuel uncertainty, my model stays grounded in data.

Systematic over speculative.

🎯 Target range: 4,783–5,918

Markets rebounded after the U.S. postponed most tariffs amid bond market stress.

Even China saw temporary relief in selected export segments. Risk sentiment has shown sign of stabilization, but how long will it last?

The macro backdrop remains complex.

My model doesn't react to headlines.

It tracks data. Systematically.

Through noise and narrative, numbers lead.

🎯 Target range: 4,615–5,379

Wider range reflects heightened post-tariff volatility

Markets remain in risk-off mode as structural uncertainty unfolds

My model stays systematic — not swayed by sentiment